3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,404 sqft ·
Built 1949
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,319/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,623
Tax + insurance
−$516
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$277
Net cashflow
$-1,097/mo
Annual
$-13,165/yr
Cap rate
2.04%
Cash-on-cash
-15.19%
DSCR
0.32
1% rule
0.43%
Cash to close
$86,656
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $1.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-13k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($0) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
In year one you build about $33k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $31k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#985 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
North Warren Central School District (rural): math 48% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #352 of 590 in NY (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: property tax is 464226.4% of price; built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 180 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Warren County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$53k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-TS60B7CNS6Z6JN
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29