9 bd · 3.9 ba ·
2,826 sqft ·
Built 1920
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 52 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$10,810/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,714
Tax + insurance
−$1,203
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,270
Net cashflow
$2,623/mo
Annual
$31,475/yr
Cap rate
10.36%
Cash-on-cash
14.54%
DSCR
1.65
1% rule
1.20%
Cash to close
$251,720
Investor read
This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.3-bath units multifamily listed at $899k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($31k/yr) — positive. Per door: $874/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($11k rent vs $899k).
It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($872k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $872k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $96k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $90k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $265k; list at $899k implies a 239% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $252k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$155k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 77% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $10,810/mo this rent would consume 261% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 1734% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-TSCJ8Z7ANJXQ2H
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29