3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
3,276 sqft ·
Built 1925
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 150 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,806/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$881
Tax + insurance
−$280
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$379
Net cashflow
$265/mo
Annual
$3,185/yr
Cap rate
8.19%
Cash-on-cash
6.77%
DSCR
1.30
1% rule
1.07%
Cash to close
$47,040
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $168k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $265 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $168k).
It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $148k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#21 in NH, #2,543 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, commute D.
Haverhill Cooperative School District (rural): math 26% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #78 of 98 in NH (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 487 units permitted in Grafton County in 2024 (127 in 5+ unit buildings).
Grafton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $32k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Significant snow accumulation
Major: exterior siding
— Weathered and in poor condition
CashFlowRE · CFR-TSNJRXEH054436
· Data 14 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29