6 bd · 3.0 ba ·
3,263 sqft ·
Built 1947
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,349/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,431
Tax + insurance
−$1,615
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,543
Net cashflow
$-241/mo
Annual
$-2,890/yr
Cap rate
5.95%
Cash-on-cash
-1.22%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$236,600
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $845k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-241 ($-3k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-120/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $802k (5.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $735k (13.0% below list).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($832k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $735k (13.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $25k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#397 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A, employment B; Watch: crime D-, cost of living F.
Mount Vernon School District (suburban): math 35% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #485 of 590 in NY (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Mount Vernon High School (math 54% / reading 75%, grade B-, #776 of 1,100 statewide, top 73%, 1,094 students, 76% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 64% at this address vs 42% district-wide (+22 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Mount Vernon School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
6 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $500k; list at $845k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $7,349/mo this rent would consume 145% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 2963% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TSW38P6DPV0R6C
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29