10 bd · 10.0 ba ·
7,840 sqft ·
Built 2006
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$19,062/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$8,391
Tax + insurance
−$2,334
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$4,003
Net cashflow
$4,334/mo
Annual
$52,009/yr
Cap rate
9.54%
Cash-on-cash
11.61%
DSCR
1.52
1% rule
1.19%
Cash to close
$448,000
Investor read
This is a 10-bed/10.0-bath multifamily listed at $1.60M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($52k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($19k rent vs $1.60M).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.58M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.58M (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $11k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $48k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.2%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $750k; list at $1.60M implies a 113% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $448k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $19,062/mo this rent would consume 464% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 10930% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TTHRPB2MF0S6FD
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29