3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,086 sqft ·
Built 1996
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 8 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,399/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,127
Tax + insurance
−$347
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$294
Net cashflow
$-369/mo
Annual
$-4,431/yr
Cap rate
4.23%
Cash-on-cash
-7.36%
DSCR
0.67
1% rule
0.65%
Cash to close
$60,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $215k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-369 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $150k (30.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (34.9% below list).
Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $140k (34.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $23k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#290 in NY, #4,681 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
Broadalbin-Perth Central School District (rural): math 50% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #286 of 590 in NY (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 112 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fulton County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $90k; list at $215k implies a 138% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TTRSCWD12NRMQC
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29