3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,608 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 10 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,719/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,363
Tax + insurance
−$486
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$571
Net cashflow
$298/mo
Annual
$3,578/yr
Cap rate
7.67%
Cash-on-cash
4.92%
DSCR
1.22
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$72,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $298 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $260k).
Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#343 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, amenities F.
New Home ISD (rural): math 71% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #16 of 826 in TX (top 2%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP.
Lynn County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (3.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TTV44CB4PFHQ1J
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29