2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,250 sqft ·
Built 1969
· Other
· Active
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,410/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$105
Tax + insurance
−$33
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$296
Net cashflow
$976/mo
Annual
$11,710/yr
Cap rate
64.84%
Cash-on-cash
209.10%
DSCR
10.30
1% rule
7.05%
Cash to close
$5,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $20k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $976 ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($20k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $20k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $600 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 90/100 on livability (#1 in ME, #105 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
RSU 22 (suburban): math 91% / reading 92% proficiency, ranked #16 of 112 in ME (top 14%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 440 units permitted in Penobscot County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Penobscot County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 64.8% vs local median 2.9% in Hampden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($107k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29