28 bd · 16.0 ba ·
3,886 sqft ·
Built 1950
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 21 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$8,087/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,753
Tax + insurance
−$875
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,698
Net cashflow
$2,761/mo
Annual
$33,127/yr
Cap rate
12.60%
Cash-on-cash
22.54%
DSCR
2.00
1% rule
1.54%
Cash to close
$147,000
Investor read
This is a 4 × 7-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $525k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($33k/yr) — positive. Per door: $690/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $525k).
It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($517k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $517k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#246 in PA, #2,112 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
Palmyra Area SD (suburban): math 52% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #63 of 539 in PA (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 315 units permitted in Lebanon County in 2024 (36 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lebanon County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask is 22% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $430k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $147k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 3.0% in Palmyra — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $8,087/mo this rent would consume 104% of the median local household income ($93k/yr) (locally 503% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TVKF55C6B6QXYB
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29