3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,639 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Land
· Active
· 322 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,427/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,416
Tax + insurance
−$585
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$510
Net cashflow
$-83/mo
Annual
$-1,001/yr
Cap rate
7.82%
Cash-on-cash
5.45%
DSCR
1.24
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$75,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath land listed at $270k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-83 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $255k (5.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $243k (10.1% below list).
It's been on market 322 days — a 12% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $238k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#548 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A-, cost of living B+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 863 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $32k; list at $270k implies a 744% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.1% in Rotonda — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 322 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29