4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,075 sqft ·
Built 1956
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 42 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,592/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,096
Tax + insurance
−$418
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$544
Net cashflow
$533/mo
Annual
$6,402/yr
Cap rate
9.36%
Cash-on-cash
10.94%
DSCR
1.49
1% rule
1.24%
Cash to close
$58,520
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $209k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $533 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $209k).
It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($203k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $203k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#86 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Regional School District 08 (rural): math 54% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #34 of 153 in CT (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 6% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TW9SXK9CEZPMME
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29