102 Orange St

Manchester, NH 03104

$1,050,000C-

8 bd · 4.0 ba · 4,578 sqft · Built 1920 · MultiFamily · Active · 208 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $10,318/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$5,506
• Tax + insurance: −$1,264
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$2,167
• Net cashflow: $1,381/mo
• Annual: $16,576/yr
• Cap rate: 7.87%
• Cash-on-cash: 5.64%
• DSCR: 1.25
• 1% rule: 0.98%
• Cash to close: $294,000

Investor read

• This is a 6 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $1.05M.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $230/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.03M (1.7% below list).
• It's been on market 208 days — a 12% lower offer ($924k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $924k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $32k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 83/100 on livability (#10 in NH, #879 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
• Manchester School District (urban): math 14% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #96 of 98 in NH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 981 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (381 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Hillsborough County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $407k; list at $1.05M implies a 158% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.1% in Manchester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• At $10,318/mo this rent would consume 139% of the median local household income ($89k/yr) (locally 1606% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 208 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
• What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
• Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.