4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
400 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 86 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,242/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$105
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$261
Net cashflow
$142/mo
Annual
$1,705/yr
Cap rate
7.51%
Cash-on-cash
4.35%
DSCR
1.19
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$39,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $142 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (11.3% below list).
It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $124k (11.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#31 in NC, #3,084 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, crime F.
Randolph County School System (rural): math 43% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #94 of 178 in NC (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Trinity Elementary School (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D-, #497 of 1,410 statewide, top 38%, 424 students, 68% FRL); Trinity Middle School (math 36% / reading 45%, grade F, #215 of 475 statewide, top 46%, 518 students, 64% FRL); Randolph Early College High School (math 98% / reading 87%, grade A+, #31 of 535 statewide, top 6%, 354 students, 46% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 60% at this address vs 43% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Randolph County School System average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 789 units permitted in Randolph County in 2024 (168 in 5+ unit buildings).
Randolph County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.0% in High Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TWG47GB164HBZB
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29