10 bd · 10.0 ba ·
5,588 sqft ·
Built 1962
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 69 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$21,939/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$13,834
Tax + insurance
−$3,417
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$4,607
Net cashflow
$81/mo
Annual
$969/yr
Cap rate
6.33%
Cash-on-cash
0.13%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$738,640
Investor read
This is a 11 × 2.0-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $2.64M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $81 ($969/yr) — positive. Per door: $7/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $2.19M (16.8% below list).
It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($2.48M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $2.19M (16.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $18k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $79k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#693 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment B; Watch: schools D, amenities D, crime F.
Montebello Unified (suburban): math 17% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #419 of 517 in CA (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $262k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $1.50M; list at $2.64M implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 2.3% in Montebello — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $21,939/mo this rent would consume 331% of the median local household income ($80k/yr) (locally 3045% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-TXZ9GV0DJ7CBFR
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29