4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,776 sqft ·
Built 2024
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 119 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,607/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,914
Tax + insurance
−$340
HOA
−$332
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$547
Net cashflow
$-526/mo
Annual
$-6,316/yr
Cap rate
4.56%
Cash-on-cash
-6.18%
DSCR
0.73
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$102,197
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $365k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-526 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $272k (25.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $261k (28.6% below list).
It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($332k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $261k (28.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 90/100 on livability (#3 in MN, #102 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+.
Shakopee Public School District (suburban): math 42% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #95 of 301 in MN (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Sweeney Elementary (math 42% / reading 56%, grade D, #475 of 857 statewide, top 56%, 630 students, 46% FRL); Shakopee West Middle School (math 26% / reading 52%, grade F, #154 of 258 statewide, top 60%, 895 students, 43% FRL); Shakopee High School (math 47% / reading 60%, grade C-, #104 of 471 statewide, top 22%, 2,770 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 42% FRL vs 26% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 464 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 699 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).
Scott County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 3.3% in Shakopee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29