2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,099 sqft ·
Built 1990
· Condo
· Active
· 54 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,108/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,206
Tax + insurance
−$379
HOA
−$533
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$443
Net cashflow
$-453/mo
Annual
$-5,430/yr
Cap rate
3.93%
Cash-on-cash
-8.43%
DSCR
0.62
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$64,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $230k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-453 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $150k (34.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $211k (8.3% below list).
It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($223k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $150k (34.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#465 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Sarasota (urban): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #7 of 73 in FL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Gocio Elementary School (math 46% / reading 44%, grade D-, #1,271 of 2,144 statewide, top 60%, 644 students, 86% FRL); Booker Middle School (math 45% / reading 41%, grade D-, #331 of 571 statewide, top 59%, 950 students, 76% FRL); Booker High School (math 26% / reading 43%, grade F, #386 of 667 statewide, top 59%, 1,309 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 42% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 41% at this address vs 63% district-wide (-22 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Sarasota average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: HOA is 25% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 228 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 7,466 units permitted in Sarasota County in 2024 (2,138 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sarasota County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $2.17M (90%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $90k; list at $230k implies a 156% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
CashFlowRE · CFR-TYMFHW8J36DA7K
· Data 21 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29