2515 Harper Rd

Choctaw, OK 73020

$500,000C+

1 bd · 4.0 ba · 3,168 sqft · Built 1970 · MultiFamily · Pending · 32 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $5,536/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,622
• Tax + insurance: −$427
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,163
• Net cashflow: $1,325/mo
• Annual: $15,897/yr
• Cap rate: 9.47%
• Cash-on-cash: 11.36%
• DSCR: 1.51
• 1% rule: 1.11%
• Cash to close: $140,000

Investor read

• This is a 4 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $500k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $331/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $500k).
• It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($485k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $485k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 71/100 on livability (#31 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Choctaw-Nicoma Park (suburban): math 28% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #48 of 270 in OK (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Choctaw Es (math 42% / reading 32%, grade F, #132 of 845 statewide, top 19%, 349 students, 0% FRL); Choctaw Ms (math 13% / reading 27%, grade F, #158 of 345 statewide, top 47%, 725 students, 0% FRL); Choctaw Hs (math 26% / reading 37%, grade F, #73 of 447 statewide, top 16%, 1,811 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 34% district-wide (34 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Market conditions: 334 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 5,365 units permitted in Oklahoma County in 2024 (569 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Oklahoma County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 2 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $186k; list at $500k implies a 169% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $140k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 3.1% in Choctaw — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• At $5,536/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($105k/yr) (locally 258% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
• What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
• Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.