5 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,600 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 103 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,883/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,536
Tax + insurance
−$488
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$605
Net cashflow
$253/mo
Annual
$3,031/yr
Cap rate
7.33%
Cash-on-cash
3.69%
DSCR
1.16
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$82,037
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $293k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $253 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $288k (1.6% below list).
It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($267k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $267k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#142 in TX, #4,037 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D, commute F.
Wylie ISD (rural): math 63% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #32 of 826 in TX (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+33.5%/yr); 370 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 508 units permitted in Taylor County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Taylor County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $82k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($90k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TZHZ3ECABDA3GP
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29