2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,457 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 85 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,057/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$210
Tax + insurance
−$67
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$222
Net cashflow
$558/mo
Annual
$6,699/yr
Cap rate
23.04%
Cash-on-cash
59.81%
DSCR
3.66
1% rule
2.64%
Cash to close
$11,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $558 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $38k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#1,243 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
Marion CUSD 2 (urban): math 20% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #317 of 620 in IL (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 130 units permitted in Williamson County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Significant wear and tear.
Major: siding
— Peeling and chipping paint.
Major: flooring
— Worn and may need replacement.
Major: HVAC system
— Old and may need replacement.
Major: landscaping
— Overgrown and needs trimming and planting.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29