3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,250 sqft ·
Built 1947
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,584/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,127
Tax + insurance
−$522
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$333
Net cashflow
$-398/mo
Annual
$-4,778/yr
Cap rate
4.07%
Cash-on-cash
-7.94%
DSCR
0.65
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$60,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-398 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $145k (32.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $158k (26.3% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $145k (32.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $23k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#215 in NY, #3,348 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F.
Cheektowaga-Sloan Union Free School District (urban): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #555 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Theodore Roosevelt School (328 students, 47% FRL); John F Kennedy Middle School (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #550 of 729 statewide, top 77%, 279 students, 54% FRL); John F Kennedy Senior High School (math 82% / reading 24%, grade C-, #934 of 1,100 statewide, top 86%, 370 students, 49% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $116k; list at $215k implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 4.1% vs local median 5.7% in Sloan — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-TZZKD5BCT1J96K
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29