2019 South Ave

Toledo, OH 43609

$67,000A-

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,007 sqft · Built 1916 · SingleFamily · Active · 165 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,128/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$351
• Tax + insurance: −$124
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$237
• Net cashflow: $415/mo
• Annual: $4,985/yr
• Cap rate: 13.73%
• Cash-on-cash: 26.57%
• DSCR: 2.18
• 1% rule: 1.68%
• Cash to close: $18,760

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $67k. Condition is rated fair.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $415 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $67k).
• It's been on market 165 days — a 12% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $59k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $965 of equity ($463 loan paydown + $502 appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
• Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Grove Patterson Academy Elementary School (math 47% / reading 66%, grade C+, #761 of 1,584 statewide, top 48%, 403 students, 38% FRL); Bowsher High School (math 23% / reading 45%, grade F, #596 of 781 statewide, top 76%, 1,240 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 44% FRL vs 72% district-wide (28 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 45% at this address vs 20% district-wide (+26 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Toledo City average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
• Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 154 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 6 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $13k; list at $67k implies a 415% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 7.8% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 7.0% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 165 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
• Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.

Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)

• Minor: Kitchen cleaning — The kitchen is cluttered and in need of cleaning.
• Minor: Bathroom cleaning — The bathroom is dirty and in need of cleaning.
• Minor: Interior wall cleaning and touch-up — The interior walls appear to be in poor condition, with visible signs of wear and tear.