3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,756 sqft ·
Built —
· Townhouse
· Active
· 632 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,917/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,780
Tax + insurance
−$566
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$613
Net cashflow
$-42/mo
Annual
$-502/yr
Cap rate
6.15%
Cash-on-cash
-0.53%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$95,057
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $334k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-42 ($-502/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $333k (0.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $292k (12.7% below list).
It's been on market 632 days — a 12% lower offer ($294k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $292k (12.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#694 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F, commute F.
CUSD 300 (suburban): math 24% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #261 of 620 in IL (top 42%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Gilberts Elem Sch (math 34% / reading 31%, grade F, #582 of 2,056 statewide, top 28%, 707 students, 0% FRL); Hampshire Middle School (math 23% / reading 21%, grade F, #389 of 665 statewide, top 60%, 795 students, 0% FRL); Hampshire High School (math 30% / reading 35%, grade F, #152 of 693 statewide, top 22%, 1,938 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 37% district-wide (37 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 287 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 32d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,944 units permitted in Kane County in 2024 (357 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.5% in Pingree Grove — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($111k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 632 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-V0M87R31M1GRFV
· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29