3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,402 sqft ·
Built 1902
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 59 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,177/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,179
Tax + insurance
−$493
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$457
Net cashflow
$48/mo
Annual
$574/yr
Cap rate
6.84%
Cash-on-cash
1.97%
DSCR
1.09
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$62,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $225k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $48 ($574/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $218k (3.2% below list).
It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $218k (3.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#196 in PA, #1,702 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+.
Stroudsburg Area SD (suburban): math 33% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #315 of 539 in PA (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Arlington Heights El Sch (math 24% / reading 44%, grade F, #1,049 of 1,518 statewide, top 71%, 229 students, 68% FRL); Stroudsburg Ms (math 25% / reading 49%, grade F, #298 of 512 statewide, top 60%, 1,056 students, 45% FRL); Stroudsburg Hs (math 71% / reading 24%, grade D, #164 of 437 statewide, top 38%, 1,246 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools average 49% FRL vs 34% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1902 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 189 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 89% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $27k; list at $225k implies a 733% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1902 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-V12WHX7G55B4CZ
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29