4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,782 sqft ·
Built 1990
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 119 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,976/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$163
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$625
Net cashflow
$1,663/mo
Annual
$19,956/yr
Cap rate
26.25%
Cash-on-cash
71.27%
DSCR
4.17
1% rule
2.98%
Cash to close
$28,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#24 in OR, #539 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, housing A+.
Tigard-Tualatin SD 23J (suburban): math 47% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #6 of 58 in OR (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Deer Creek Elementary School (565 students, 32% FRL); Twality Middle School (math 54% / reading 64%, grade B, #17 of 128 statewide, top 14%, 918 students, 31% FRL); Tualatin High School (math 75% / reading 75%, grade A-, #2 of 143 statewide, top 6%, 1,747 students, 25% FRL) — zoned schools at 29% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 412 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,224 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (242 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $48k; list at $100k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 26.2% vs local median 2.7% in King City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($98k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-V1NCY19BZ3AM74
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29