2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
846 sqft ·
Built 1986
· Condo
· Active
· 47 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,367/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$624
Tax + insurance
−$136
HOA
−$334
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$287
Net cashflow
$-14/mo
Annual
$-168/yr
Cap rate
6.15%
Cash-on-cash
-0.50%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
1.15%
Cash to close
$33,320
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $119k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-14 ($-168/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $117k (2.1% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $119k).
It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($115k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $115k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#26 in NC, #2,502 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Charlotte-Mecklenburg Schools (urban): math 42% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #85 of 178 in NC (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Joseph W Grier Academy (math 21% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,033 of 1,410 statewide, top 76%, 691 students, 100% FRL); Northridge Middle (math 23% / reading 35%, grade F, #350 of 475 statewide, top 74%, 1,088 students, 58% FRL); Rocky River High School (math 31% / reading 35%, grade F, #438 of 535 statewide, top 82%, 1,643 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 49% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 44% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Charlotte-Mecklenburg Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 568 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 11,969 units permitted in Mecklenburg County in 2024 (5,377 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mecklenburg County population projected at +53% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
10 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask is 8881% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $101k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.1% in Charlotte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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