3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,920 sqft ·
Built 2005
· Manufactured
· Active
· 87 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,269/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$552
Tax + insurance
−$145
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$266
Net cashflow
$306/mo
Annual
$3,670/yr
Cap rate
9.78%
Cash-on-cash
12.46%
DSCR
1.55
1% rule
1.21%
Cash to close
$29,456
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $105k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $306 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $99k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($727 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#308 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Walnut Hill Elementary/Middle School (math 11% / reading 32%, grade F, #434 of 646 statewide, top 68%, 1,509 students, 66% FRL); Caddo Parish Middle Magnet School (math 79% / reading 93%, grade A+, #1 of 218 statewide, top 0%, 1,003 students, 23% FRL); Huntington High School (math 6% / reading 34%, grade F, #183 of 265 statewide, top 70%, 1,228 students, 72% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 42% at this address vs 26% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Caddo Parish average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 57 active listings in the ZIP; 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 73% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 3.5% in Greenwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-V1YJY53ZY585YB
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29