4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,018 sqft ·
Built 1985
· Condo
· Coming Soon
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,037/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,563
Tax + insurance
−$270
HOA
−$285
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$638
Net cashflow
$281/mo
Annual
$3,372/yr
Cap rate
7.42%
Cash-on-cash
4.04%
DSCR
1.18
1% rule
1.02%
Cash to close
$83,440
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $298k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $281 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $298k).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#24 in CO, #2,736 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
St. Vrain Valley School District No. Re1J (suburban): math 32% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #23 of 86 in CO (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Alpine Elementary School (math 24% / reading 32%, grade F, #540 of 966 statewide, top 57%, 418 students, 55% FRL); Skyline High School (math 25% / reading 46%, grade F, #207 of 381 statewide, top 54%, 1,354 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 27% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 534 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,688 units permitted in Boulder County in 2024 (1,136 in 5+ unit buildings).
Boulder County population projected at +40% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask is 126% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $133k; list at $298k implies a 124% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 2.6% in Longmont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($114k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-V20269FEHF6DV7
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29