3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,036 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 102 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,523/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$839
Tax + insurance
−$227
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$320
Net cashflow
$137/mo
Annual
$1,647/yr
Cap rate
7.32%
Cash-on-cash
3.68%
DSCR
1.16
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$44,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $137 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (4.8% below list).
It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $146k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $15k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (8.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#836 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, health & safety D, amenities F.
Conneaut SD (rural): math 38% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #241 of 539 in PA (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Conneaut Valley El Sch (math 57% / reading 62%, grade B-, #377 of 1,518 statewide, top 28%, 316 students, 100% FRL); Conneaut Valley Ms (math 29% / reading 58%, grade D, #208 of 512 statewide, top 41%, 259 students, 100% FRL); Conneaut Area Senior High (math 95% / reading 24%, grade C+, #79 of 437 statewide, top 18%, 579 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools average 93% FRL vs 44% district-wide (50 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 83 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Crawford County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $56k; list at $160k implies a 186% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (8.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-V24X8ZFY7ZH3XJ
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29