2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,152 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 59 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,809/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$621
Tax + insurance
−$342
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$380
Net cashflow
$466/mo
Annual
$5,591/yr
Cap rate
11.01%
Cash-on-cash
16.85%
DSCR
1.75
1% rule
1.53%
Cash to close
$33,180
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $118k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $466 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $118k).
It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($115k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $115k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $819 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#161 in NY, #2,455 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, employment B+; Watch: crime F.
Rotterdam-Mohonasen Central School District (suburban): math 48% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #333 of 590 in NY (top 56%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Herman L Bradt Elementary School (612 students, 42% FRL); Draper Middle School (math 28% / reading 53%, grade F, #409 of 729 statewide, top 56%, 646 students, 46% FRL); Mohonasen Senior High School (math 94% / reading 75%, grade A, #379 of 1,100 statewide, top 36%, 886 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools average 45% FRL vs 26% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 185 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 154 units permitted in Schenectady County in 2024 (54 in 5+ unit buildings).
Schenectady County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $93k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 3.0% in Rotterdam — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-V2Q0HJ5E39Y227
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29