9 bd · 6.9 ba ·
15,225 sqft ·
Built 1973
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 377 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,786/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,442
Tax + insurance
−$458
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$795
Net cashflow
$1,090/mo
Annual
$13,086/yr
Cap rate
11.05%
Cash-on-cash
16.99%
DSCR
1.76
1% rule
1.38%
Cash to close
$77,000
Investor read
This is a 3 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $275k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $363/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $275k).
It's been on market 377 days — a 12% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $242k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Carson City-Crystal Area Schools (rural): math 17% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #449 of 540 in MI (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Carson City Elementary School (math 34% / reading 34%, grade F, #744 of 1,397 statewide, top 57%, 224 students, 55% FRL); Carson Citycrystal Upper Elementarymiddle School (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #425 of 493 statewide, top 87%, 256 students, 55% FRL); Carson Citycrystal High School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #462 of 713 statewide, top 66%, 218 students, 49% FRL).
Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 94 units permitted in Ionia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ionia County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $275k (50%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $90k; list at $275k implies a 206% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $77k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 377 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-V3JG28C082HDY7
· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29