4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,540 sqft ·
Built 1904
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 79 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,152/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$88
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$242
Net cashflow
$455/mo
Annual
$5,456/yr
Cap rate
14.09%
Cash-on-cash
27.84%
DSCR
2.24
1% rule
1.65%
Cash to close
$19,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $70k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $455 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $66k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($484 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#193 in IA, #3,535 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
South O'Brien Community School District (rural): math 64% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #196 of 289 in IA (top 68%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in O'Brien County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
O'Brien County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $52k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (6.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-V3X74Y9WDHPCE5
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29