4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,559 sqft ·
Built 1976
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$8,900/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,274
Tax + insurance
−$1,525
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,869
Net cashflow
$1,232/mo
Annual
$14,788/yr
Cap rate
8.11%
Cash-on-cash
6.48%
DSCR
1.29
1% rule
1.09%
Cash to close
$228,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $815k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $815k).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($791k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $791k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $24k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#466 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F, health & safety F.
Clarkstown Central School District (suburban): math 72% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #66 of 590 in NY (top 11%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: West Nyack Elementary School (math 72% / reading 77%, grade A, #314 of 2,108 statewide, top 17%, 314 students, 18% FRL); Felix Festa Achievement Middle School (math 57% / reading 77%, grade A-, #101 of 729 statewide, top 15%, 640 students, 19% FRL); Clarkstown South Senior High School (math 100% / reading 90%, grade A+, #93 of 1,100 statewide, top 10%, 1,345 students, 16% FRL).
Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 429 units permitted in Rockland County in 2024 (231 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rockland County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 2.3% in Nanuet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-V3Y6DY8EFNCRV2
· Data 22 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29