4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,610 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 109 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,603/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,281
Tax + insurance
−$725
HOA
−$8
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$547
Net cashflow
$-957/mo
Annual
$-11,488/yr
Cap rate
3.65%
Cash-on-cash
-9.43%
DSCR
0.58
1% rule
0.60%
Cash to close
$121,786
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $435k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-957 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $296k (31.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $260k (40.1% below list).
It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($396k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $260k (40.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $15k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (2.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#5 in NE, #545 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+.
Lincoln Public Schools (urban): math 50% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #59 of 111 in NE (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Norris Intermediate School (math 62% / reading 61%, grade B, #106 of 502 statewide, top 21%, 577 students, 10% FRL); Norris Middle School (math 41% / reading 62%, grade C, #48 of 128 statewide, top 38%, 595 students, 12% FRL); Norris High School (math 62% / reading 57%, grade C+, #49 of 261 statewide, top 26%, 757 students, 12% FRL) — zoned schools average 11% FRL vs 37% district-wide (26 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.0%/yr); 147 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,940 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (895 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lancaster County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 40% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-V5418CFBWH2ZGT
· Data 21 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29