2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
980 sqft ·
Built 1976
· Manufactured
· Active
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,087/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$325
Tax + insurance
−$103
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$228
Net cashflow
$430/mo
Annual
$5,162/yr
Cap rate
14.62%
Cash-on-cash
29.74%
DSCR
2.32
1% rule
1.75%
Cash to close
$17,360
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $62k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $430 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $62k).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($60k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $60k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $429 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#69 in IA, #1,522 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Spirit Lake Community School District (town): math 73% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #59 of 289 in IA (top 20%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Spirit Lake Elementary School (math 77% / reading 67%, grade A-, #181 of 616 statewide, top 34%, 537 students, 28% FRL); Spirit Lake Middle School (math 70% / reading 75%, grade A, #90 of 246 statewide, top 38%, 358 students, 24% FRL); Spirit Lake High School (math 77% / reading 87%, grade A, #20 of 336 statewide, top 7%, 409 students, 23% FRL) — zoned schools at 25% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 201 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 295 units permitted in Dickinson County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dickinson County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 14.6% vs local median 1.6% in Spirit Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-V599DECXGKH0VA
· Data 12 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29