3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,392 sqft ·
Built 1947
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 66 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,278/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$902
Tax + insurance
−$155
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$268
Net cashflow
$-47/mo
Annual
$-566/yr
Cap rate
5.96%
Cash-on-cash
-1.18%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$48,160
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $172k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-47 ($-566/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $164k (4.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (25.7% below list).
It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($162k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $128k (25.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (9.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#632 in IN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
West Central School Corporation (rural): math 31% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #211 of 301 in IN (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: West Central Elementary School (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #597 of 994 statewide, top 63%, 325 students, 62% FRL); West Central Middle School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #212 of 330 statewide, top 67%, 108 students, 58% FRL); West Central Senior High School (math 24% / reading 54%, grade F, #221 of 369 statewide, top 63%, 206 students, 55% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 25 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pulaski County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (9.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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