2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,134 sqft ·
Built 1980
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 277 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$987/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$212
Tax + insurance
−$45
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$207
Net cashflow
$522/mo
Annual
$6,262/yr
Cap rate
21.75%
Cash-on-cash
55.22%
DSCR
3.46
1% rule
2.44%
Cash to close
$11,340
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $522 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($987 rent vs $40k).
It's been on market 277 days — a 12% lower offer ($36k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $36k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($280 loan paydown + $785 appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#414 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
Maynard School District (rural): math 19% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #197 of 238 in AR (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Randolph County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Randolph County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $28k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 277 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29