2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
674 sqft ·
Built 1971
· Condo
· Active
· 42 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,141/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,363
Tax + insurance
−$669
HOA
−$777
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$660
Net cashflow
$-328/mo
Annual
$-3,933/yr
Cap rate
5.34%
Cash-on-cash
-3.39%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
1.21%
Cash to close
$72,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $260k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-328 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $202k (22.3% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $260k).
It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($252k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $202k (22.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Hawaii Department Of Education (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #1 of 1 in HI (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $122/mo; HOA is 25% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 814 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,638 units permitted in Honolulu County in 2024 (793 in 5+ unit buildings).
Honolulu County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $174k; 49% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AO (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 1.5% in Urban Honolulu — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,141/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($77k/yr) (locally 2422% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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