2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,381 sqft ·
Built 1901
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,109/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$332
Tax + insurance
−$141
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$233
Net cashflow
$403/mo
Annual
$4,831/yr
Cap rate
13.92%
Cash-on-cash
27.24%
DSCR
2.21
1% rule
1.75%
Cash to close
$17,733
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $63k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $403 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $63k).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $61k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($438 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Black River Local (rural): math 55% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #278 of 656 in OH (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 61 units permitted in Ashland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ashland County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-V61PHF23K8EW3P
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29