3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,596 sqft ·
Built 2016
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 100 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,222/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,547
Tax + insurance
−$348
HOA
−$110
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$467
Net cashflow
$-249/mo
Annual
$-2,988/yr
Cap rate
5.28%
Cash-on-cash
-3.62%
DSCR
0.84
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$82,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $295k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-249 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $251k (14.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $222k (24.7% below list).
It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($268k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $222k (24.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#61 in IN, #4,105 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Brownsburg Community School Corporation (suburban): math 72% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #2 of 301 in IN (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Brownsburg High School (math 61% / reading 83%, grade B+, #12 of 369 statewide, top 4%, 3,177 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools average 33% FRL vs 17% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 340 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,294 units permitted in Hendricks County in 2024 (18 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hendricks County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $175k; list at $295k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.8% in Brownsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-V69KVCDM8VVPJ3
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29