4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,560 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 77 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,279/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,075
Tax + insurance
−$342
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$269
Net cashflow
$-406/mo
Annual
$-4,878/yr
Cap rate
3.91%
Cash-on-cash
-8.50%
DSCR
0.62
1% rule
0.62%
Cash to close
$57,400
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $205k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-406 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $146k (28.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (37.6% below list).
It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $128k (37.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $22k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#304 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
Jeff Davis County (town): math 37% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #88 of 174 in GA (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Jeff Davis County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jeff Davis County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-V6GEXKEP0Y9ZXE
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29