Aurora Plan

East Avon, NY 14414

$98,500B-

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Built — · Manufactured · Active · 14 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,684/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$306
• Tax + insurance: −$97
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$354
• Net cashflow: $927/mo
• Annual: $11,124/yr
• Cap rate: 25.35%
• Cash-on-cash: 68.06%
• DSCR: 4.03
• 1% rule: 2.89%
• Cash to close: $16,343

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $98k. Condition is rated poor.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $927 ($11k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $98k).
• Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $404 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,004 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-, cost of living B; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
• Avon Central School District (town): math 53% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #349 of 590 in NY (top 59%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 86 units permitted in Livingston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Livingston County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Questions for listing agent

• Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)

• Major: roof — The satellite image shows potential damage to the roof.
• Major: exterior siding — The satellite image shows discoloration and possible damage to the siding.