3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,200 sqft ·
Built 1978
· Condo
· Coming Soon
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,470/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,363
Tax + insurance
−$433
HOA
−$265
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$519
Net cashflow
$-110/mo
Annual
$-1,325/yr
Cap rate
5.78%
Cash-on-cash
-1.82%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$72,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $260k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-110 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $244k (6.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $247k (5.0% below list).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $244k (6.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#97 in IL, #1,577 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, employment A+; Watch: commute F, cost of living F.
Chsd 128 (suburban): math 60% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #22 of 620 in IL (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Hawthorn Sch of Dual Language (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #749 of 2,056 statewide, top 40%, 409 students, 0% FRL); Hawthorn Middle School North (math 37% / reading 43%, grade F, #140 of 665 statewide, top 22%, 623 students, 0% FRL); Vernon Hills High School (math 63% / reading 64%, grade B-, #14 of 693 statewide, top 2%, 1,505 students, 0% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 44% at this address vs 62% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Chsd 128 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 77 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 948 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (424 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.1% in Vernon Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29