2 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,127 sqft ·
Built 2008
· Condo
· Active
· 188 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,550/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,232
Tax + insurance
−$818
HOA
−$230
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$535
Net cashflow
$-266/mo
Annual
$-3,192/yr
Cap rate
4.93%
Cash-on-cash
-4.85%
DSCR
0.78
1% rule
1.08%
Cash to close
$65,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $235k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-266 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $188k (20.0% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $235k).
It's been on market 188 days — a 12% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $188k (20.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#159 in IL, #2,964 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities D-.
Chsd 218 (suburban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #454 of 620 in IL (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Burr Oak Academy (318 students, 0% FRL); Calumet Elem School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #332 of 665 statewide, top 55%, 310 students, 0% FRL); A B Shepard High Sch (Campus) (math 16% / reading 25%, grade F, #350 of 693 statewide, top 51%, 1,973 students, 0% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price.
Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 6.6% in Blue Island — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 188 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
CashFlowRE · CFR-V793THC00WE6T1
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29