2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
829 sqft ·
Built 1955
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 47 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$849/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$79
Tax + insurance
−$42
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$178
Net cashflow
$551/mo
Annual
$6,606/yr
Cap rate
50.33%
Cash-on-cash
157.29%
DSCR
8.00
1% rule
5.66%
Cash to close
$4,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $15k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $551 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($849 rent vs $15k).
It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($15k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $15k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $578 of equity ($104 loan paydown + $474 appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#370 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, amenities F.
Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 54% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-V7DSCWDDJTXDCV
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29