27 bd · 26.1 ba ·
— sqft ·
Built 1940
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 123 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$27,840/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$6,235
Tax + insurance
−$1,982
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$5,846
Net cashflow
$13,777/mo
Annual
$165,320/yr
Cap rate
20.20%
Cash-on-cash
49.66%
DSCR
3.21
1% rule
2.34%
Cash to close
$332,920
Investor read
This is a 9 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $1.19M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $14k ($165k/yr) — positive. Per door: $2k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($28k rent vs $1.19M).
It's been on market 123 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.05M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.05M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $8k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $36k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#461 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A-; Watch: commute C-, health & safety D, amenities F.
Corona-Norco Unified (suburban): math 46% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #312 of 1,400 in CA (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 85 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $108k; list at $1.19M implies a 1001% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $333k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 20.2% vs local median 2.9% in Corona — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $27,840/mo this rent would consume 362% of the median local household income ($92k/yr) (locally 2058% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 123 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-V808H4CM4KNKFB
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29