5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,720 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,281/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$781
Tax + insurance
−$537
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$479
Net cashflow
$484/mo
Annual
$5,809/yr
Cap rate
10.19%
Cash-on-cash
13.92%
DSCR
1.62
1% rule
1.53%
Cash to close
$41,720
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $149k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $484 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $242/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $149k).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($147k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $147k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D-, crime F.
Ogdensburg City School District (town): math 34% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #531 of 590 in NY (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 127 active listings in the ZIP; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 5.3% in Ogdensburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-V8974W4JF1SPFT
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29