3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,084 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,135/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$603
Tax + insurance
−$369
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$238
Net cashflow
$-75/mo
Annual
$-904/yr
Cap rate
7.45%
Cash-on-cash
4.12%
DSCR
1.18
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$32,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-75 ($-904/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $102k (11.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (1.3% below list).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $102k (11.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-2.3%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#153 in SD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, amenities F.
Mount Vernon School District 17-3 (rural): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #64 of 148 in SD (top 43%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $186/mo; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 48 units permitted in Davison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Davison County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $25k; list at $115k implies a 360% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AO (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29