3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
644 sqft ·
Built 1955
· Manufactured
· Active
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,840/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$676
Tax + insurance
−$84
HOA
−$196
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$386
Net cashflow
$497/mo
Annual
$5,965/yr
Cap rate
10.92%
Cash-on-cash
16.51%
DSCR
1.73
1% rule
1.43%
Cash to close
$36,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $129k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $497 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $129k).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $127k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $14k of equity ($892 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#898 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
Wallenpaupack Area SD (rural): math 39% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #192 of 539 in PA (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 374 active listings in the ZIP; 213 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pike County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 4.0% in Hawley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-V8K8QZEWK55H38
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29