4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,800 sqft ·
Built 1971
· Condo
· Under Contract
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,721/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,097
Tax + insurance
−$712
HOA
−$697
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$991
Net cashflow
$224/mo
Annual
$2,682/yr
Cap rate
6.96%
Cash-on-cash
2.40%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
1.18%
Cash to close
$111,972
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $400k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $224 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $400k).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($394k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $394k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#27 in CT, #1,989 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
Farmington School District (suburban): math 65% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #18 of 153 in CT (top 12%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: East Farms School (math 77% / reading 77%, grade A, #28 of 553 statewide, top 7%, 468 students, 11% FRL); West Woods Upper Elementary School (math 64% / reading 77%, grade A, #13 of 175 statewide, top 8%, 641 students, 17% FRL); Farmington High School (math 55% / reading 78%, grade B, #32 of 194 statewide, top 16%, 1,263 students, 16% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents flat; 67 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $180k; list at $400k implies a 122% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.3% in West Hartford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($141k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
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· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29