3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,382 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,263/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$191
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$265
Net cashflow
$177/mo
Annual
$2,128/yr
Cap rate
8.07%
Cash-on-cash
6.33%
DSCR
1.28
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$33,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $177 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($830 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (7.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#407 in NE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, employment A, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Palmyra District OR1 (rural): math 48% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #35 of 111 in NE (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Elementary At Bennet (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #200 of 502 statewide, top 46%, 400 students, 20% FRL); Palmyra Middle School (148 students, 19% FRL); Jr-Sr High School At Palmyra (math 47% / reading 62%, grade C-, #80 of 261 statewide, top 37%, 163 students, 24% FRL).
Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 29 units permitted in Otoe County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Otoe County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $57k; list at $120k implies a 111% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (7.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-V92VPQEP6B7F0Z
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29